In this engaging and readable book, Peter Decherney tells the story of Hollywood, from its nineteenth-century origins to the emergence of internet media empires. He recounts how the studio system rose out of the ashes of Thomas Edison's trust to create the handful of companies that have dominated global screens and imaginations for more than 100 years. Throughout, he reveals that the elements we take to be a natural part of the Hollywood experience--stars, genre-driven storytelling, blockbuster franchises, etc.--are really the product of cultural, political, and commercial forces.
The Lockwood Analytical Method for Prediction (LAMP) is a systematic technique for predicting short-term, unique behaviors. Using primarily qualitative empirical data, LAMP allows the analyst to predict the most likely outcomes for specific research questions across a wide range of intelligence problems, such as cyber threats in the U.S., the possibility of an Al Qaeda attack, the likelihood of Iran providing nuclear capability to terrorist groups, or the future actions of the Mexican drug cartel.
LAMP offers an innovative and powerful method for organizing all available information based on the perceptions of the national actors, using it to make relevant predictions as to which alternate future is most likely to occur at a given moment in time. Its transparent structure enables anyone to see how an analyst gets from point A to point B to produce an intelligence estimate. LAMP differs from other analytical techniques in that it is based on determining the relative probability of a range of alternate futures, rather than attempting to determine the quantitative probability of their occurrence.
After explaining its theoretical framework, the text leads the reader through the process of predictive analysis before providing practical case studies showing how LAMP is applied against real world problems, such as the possible responses of Israel, the U.S., and Lebanon to the behavior of Hezbollah or the competing visions of the future of Afghanistan. Evaluation of the method is provided with the case studies to show the effectiveness of the LAMP predictions over time. The book is complemented by a website with downloadable software for use by students of intelligence in conducting their own predictive analysis. It will be an essential tool for the analyst and the student, not only for national security issues but also for competitive intelligence.
In the summer of 1985 my family and I came home to find a strange bird in our creek. Most of what you will read is true. We brought the bird up from the creek and tried to get him to fly, but he was too weak. We then brought him into our porch but his wings were too big and he bumped into all the furniture. We then put him into an old duck pen and it was the safest place for Woodrow until we could get him help. People have asked why we named him Woodrow Wilson Wood Stork. Were we really fond of the 28th president? Actually we liked the name because it had two W's and went well with wood stork. Woodrow really did fly in a helicopter and stayed at the Riverbanks Zoo until he was rehabilitated. He was released at the Belle W. Baruch wildlife refuge in Georgetown, SC. This is a 17,500-acre facility created for the purpose of teaching, research in forestry, marine biology and the care and propagation of wildlife. Wood storks are endangered because there are not many of them and that is why so many people went to so much trouble to save Woodrow.
<i>Accounting for Real Estate Transactions, Second Edition</i> is an up-to-date, comprehensive reference guide, specifically written to help professionals understand and apply the accounting rules relating to real estate transactions. This book provides financial professionals with a powerful tool to evaluate the accounting consequences of specific deals, enabling them to structure transactions with the accounting consequences in mind, and to account for them in accordance with US GAAP. Accountants and auditors are provided with major concepts, clear and concise explanations of real estate accounting rules, detailed applications of US GAAP, flowcharts, and exhaustive cross-references of the authoritative literature.
This is a step-by-step guide to working with wood, with over 60 techniques and a full guide to tools, shown in over 600 easy-to-follow photographs and diagrams. It shows you how to choose the right tools for working with wood, from saws and planes to drills and sanders, with tips on planning your workshop and working safely. It is an essential guide to fixings and fittings, to ensure that you use the most suitable screws, nails, hinges and catches for the job. It includes basic techniques for selecting and storing wood, cutting, shaping, assembling and glueing, how to make joints, and finishing techniques such as staining, varnishing, polishing, lacquering, waxing and oiling. It features over 600 photographs make even the most technically difficult tasks easy to follow, and practical tips throughout explain the best ways of perfecting your working skills. No matter how simple or complex your woodworking goals, the same basic skills are needed: selecting and cutting wood, shaping, assembling and sanding the components, and using the right tools for the job. This book provides a good grounding in each of these areas, showing how to improve skill levels as you become more experienced. The book includes a guide to the tools needed for measuring, marking, cutting, shaping and finishing. All the basic cutting and assembling techniques are described and illustrated, and there are advanced techniques for decorative work. Finally, the book shows how to stain, varnish, paint, lacquer, wax and polish wood, ensuring a beautiful finish, whether you are an experienced woodworker or a beginner.
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