The Lockwood Analytical Method for Prediction (LAMP) is a systematic technique for predicting short-term, unique behaviors. Using primarily qualitative empirical data, LAMP allows the analyst to predict the most likely outcomes for specific research questions across a wide range of intelligence problems, such as cyber threats in the U.S., the possibility of an Al Qaeda attack, the likelihood of Iran providing nuclear capability to terrorist groups, or the future actions of the Mexican drug cartel.
LAMP offers an innovative and powerful method for organizing all available information based on the perceptions of the national actors, using it to make relevant predictions as to which alternate future is most likely to occur at a given moment in time. Its transparent structure enables anyone to see how an analyst gets from point A to point B to produce an intelligence estimate. LAMP differs from other analytical techniques in that it is based on determining the relative probability of a range of alternate futures, rather than attempting to determine the quantitative probability of their occurrence.
After explaining its theoretical framework, the text leads the reader through the process of predictive analysis before providing practical case studies showing how LAMP is applied against real world problems, such as the possible responses of Israel, the U.S., and Lebanon to the behavior of Hezbollah or the competing visions of the future of Afghanistan. Evaluation of the method is provided with the case studies to show the effectiveness of the LAMP predictions over time. The book is complemented by a website with downloadable software for use by students of intelligence in conducting their own predictive analysis. It will be an essential tool for the analyst and the student, not only for national security issues but also for competitive intelligence.
A comprehensive, practical guide to wood-plastic composites and their properties<br> <br> This is the first book that presents an overview of the main principles underlying the composition of wood-plastic composite (WPC) materials and their performance in the real world. Focusing on the characteristics of WPC materials rather than their manufacture, this guide bridges the gap between laboratory-based research and testing and the properties WPC materials exhibit when they're used in decks, railing systems, fences, and other common applications. Complete with practical examples and case studies, this guide: <ul> <LI> Describes compositions of WPC materials, including thermoplastics, cellulose fiber, minerals, additives, and their properties <LI> Covers mechanical properties, microbial resistance, water absorption, flammability, slip resistance, thermal expansion-contraction, sensitivity to oxidation and solar radiation, and rheological properties of hot melts of WPC <LI> Covers subjects that determine esthetics, properties, performance, and durability of wood-plastic composite products <LI> Includes comparisons of different ASTM methods and procedures that apply to specific properties </ul> This is a comprehensive, hands-on reference for scientists, engineers, and researchers working with wood-plastic composites in plastics and polymers, materials science, microbiology, rheology, plastic technology, and chemical engineering, as well as an outstanding text for graduate students in these disciplines. It's also an excellent resource for suppliers and WPC manufacturers, and an accessible guide for developers, homebuilders, and landscape architects who want to know more about wood-plastic composites and their performance in the real world.
CHARLIE MAJORS PUT HIMSELF IN A BIND when he blurted out in class that there was a ghost in Fowler's Woods. Now half of the class is agreeing with bully Delmar Weeks that the voice Charlie is hearing is in his head. Johnny Moss is the only other person that has heard the noise that sounds like a young girl screaming for help, and he is beginning to wonder if he really heard it. Kimberlee North, one of Charlie's best friends, and a classmate, tutors Charlie every afternoon after school. She knows and Charlie knows that without her help he is never going to learn math. She also knows it is going to be a long school year for Charlie if they can't find a way to stop Delmar Weeks from his tormenting teasing. Since Charlie doesn't seem to have any ideas how to stop the harassment, Kimberlee decides she is going to have to solve this problem on her own. Can Kimberlee find the mystery to the haunting voice, and restore some peace in Charlie's life, and calm his and Johnny's fears about the ghost in Fowler's Woods.
This title features eight inspired chapters: The Spiritual Basis of Real Prosperity; Prosperity is a Personal Choice; The Eight Success Principles That Make Possible the Fulfillment of All of Life's Purposes; The Deep Silence That Refreshes the Mind and Spirit; What You Can Clearly Imagine and Believe, You Can Experience; How to Use Affirmations Effectively; Money - What It is and How to Manage It; and, Established in Prosperity Consciousness, Fulfill Your Destiny.
Have fun with a furry foxy spot the difference and a hopping hare matching game! This beautifully illustrated activity book presents a sumptuous journey through the woodland animals around us. Flashcards on the front and back cover flaps encourage children to get out and about as they search for the creatures in the book. There are also fascinating facts on each page for keen nature enthusiasts, plus an answers section at the back of the book for the puzzles and activities.
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